Scotten Consulting’s take on current events and regional trends.

Category Archives: Geopolitics


Great Power Competition in Iran as the US Exits the Arena

US President Donald Trump’s decision to abandon the Iran nuclear deal, and thus re-impose broad sanctions against the Islamic Republic, sends a clear signal that Washington has reverted to a full containment policy against Tehran. But, lacking a clear overarching Middle East strategy, US policymakers do not appear to be weighing the merits of this Read more »

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Iranian Domestic Challenges to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) nuclear agreement between Iran and the P5+1 (the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Russia, China, and Germany) has proven successful so far. However, some major challenges to the JCPOA from within Iran may emerge in the future. This RAND Corporation Perspective examines the nature of the factional Read more »

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Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan

This report examines the potential implications for the region if the Kurdistan Region of northern Iraq were at some point to declare its secession from Iraq. Specifically, the authors analyze the interests of three key regional neighbors — the Iraqi central government, Turkey, and Iran — and explore policies each actor may pursue in response Read more »

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The Future U.S. Role in the Middle East

Scotten Consulting founder Ali Scotten was interviewed by The Great Middle East about the future U.S. role in the region. There is increasing talk about US strategic interests shifting towards the South-East Asia region, and the Middle East—particularly the Gulf region—becoming a lower priority for Washington. There are also disagreements and a certain coldness in Read more »

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The Potential Impact of Iranian Politics on Future Iran-GCC Relations

The results of Iran’s February 26, 2016, parliamentary and Assembly of Experts elections could prove to be an important turning point in the history of the Islamic Republic. Coming on the heels of the implementation of the nuclear deal, the election served as a referendum in favor of President Hassan Rouhani’s moderating approach to international Read more »

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